Perfect Vision

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Somewhere at sometime you've probably heard the phrase "Hindsight is 20/20". For those of you who haven't, this phrase is describing how much clearer events are once they're over with. We have the ability to gain some distance between us and the problem or choice of the time. This is all descriptive of something called "hindsight bias" which is how we're biased to think that things were obviously going to turn out as they did when they may not have been at the time. Enron's huge success that eventually ended the utter downfall of the energy giant? Obviously that was doomed! Their hiring description was basically the DSM-IV-TR's criteria of a sociopath. The people in the 2nd tower on 9-11? They should have expected another plane coming! The bay of pigs? Clearly JFK should have known better than to go through with such a shoddy plan! In fact, none of these cases would have been easily identified as a failure from the perspective of the decision makers (stockholders, people in the 2nd tower, JFK and staff, respectively). From our cushy position right now, it is quite obvious that these things would happen, but at the time, you can never be certain how things will work out.

There are too many factors at any given moment to clearly see everything that's relevant to a given circumstance.

Similar to me in every way!

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A common bias that comes up in even the most fair-handed of people is what is referred to as the "similar-to-me bias" (also known as the similar to me error). I suppose you could view this as a form of error, but bias seems more apt. This bias happens when we judge someone who seems like us, whether in appearance or behaviour, more favourably than we should.

This makes sense, right? We've thought out the world, we think we know how things work, and we tend to think we're smarter than someone who has a differing opinion from ours. They just haven't seen everything we have! We have better powers of deduction! Of course! So when we find someone who is similar to us, particularly in their views, we view them as a more capable person, more likeable, and all the rest.

One of my professors this term pointed out how this bias can play out in everyday life: If you look at people lined up somewhere (a grocery store, say), you'll notice that the more similar two people appear, the closer they'll stand. I don't mean this in an intimate way, or that they even know each other, either. Two strangers who look like they have similar backgrounds tend to stand close together. Though, this is only anecdotally shown, but not experimentally.

One of the more detrimental areas that this bias can show up is in job interviews. Though managers are usually trained to watch for such biases, they can still pop up. There's not much you can do with this. You'll be hard-pressed to imitate an interviewer with features you can't change (gender, race, socioeconomic status, etc.), but making an effort can’t hurt, right?

So, keep this bias in mind when making judgments of other people. The message is in the neighbourhood of Mr.Rogers, but just because something is different doesn't mean it is bad. Embrace our differences, people! That's all for today.


High Self-Esteem: Not always a good thing

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This post is in line with my previous one regarding the problem of narcissism in more recent generations.

As many of you may have probably noticed over the years, teachers and parents seem to equate high self-esteem with good grades. Uncanny that there is a correlation between the two, but not quite in the direction they saw it.

Maybe you already know this, but I feel it's important to emphasize: correlation does not mean causation. Just because two things happen together, doesn't mean one necessarily makes the other happen. In this instance, teachers and parents assumed that kids with high self-esteem were more determined, confident, and successful because of it. As it seems to be dawning on us, it's the other way around, if anything. What we ended up with was a group of people with a fragile sense of self who believe that the world is effortlessly theirs for the taking, eventually leading to a breach of their self-image when someone points out a flaw. Their view of the world might not be a bad thing if these people are some form of royalty or in some social experiment where this was actually an accurate view of their situation, but clearly it isn't.

No, what we have are people who demand reverence and awe in their presence. What happens if you don't bow before their greatness? Well, there's a number of outcomes, none of them good: they could throw a tantrum, they could violently lash out, and/or they could pout. All very irritating, especially if you're somehow lucky enough as to have to work with them.

Yes, we've come to a sad realization that not everyone deserves self-esteem. Those who do not earn it through hard work have a fragile veneer of a self. People should feel good about themselves, but within reason. If you've gained a degree of success and you've worked hard to get there, feel good! If you've not done much and have nothing to show, don't despair, just aspire to achieve!

Moral of the story: When trying to get someone - or yourself - to feel better about themselves, don't excessively compliment when there's nothing worth complimenting. This detracts from your compliments severely and leads to the above problem. Rather, encourage them to pick up a hobby or to do some self-improvement (tactfully) to bring about something actually worth being proud of.